Jamestown Conference - Pakistan's Troubled Frontier: The Future of FATA and the NWFP April 15, 2009

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Conference
Agenda
Pakistan's
Troubled Frontier:
The Future
of FATA and the NWFP*
Wednesday, April 15,
2009
9:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m.
Root Conference Room
Carnegie
Endowment for International Peace
1779 Massachusetts
Ave
Washington,
DC

*Admission
fee includes free copy of Jamestowns new book:
Pakistans
Troubled Frontier (Dr. Hassan
Abbas, ed.)

Registration
8:30 a.m.

Introduction
9:00 a.m.

Glen E. Howard
President, The Jamestown Foundation

Panel One:
The FATA
Challenge
9:10 a.m. - 10:30 a.m.

Moderator:
Dr. Steven Cohen
Senior Fellow, The Brookings Institution

Ahmed Rashid
"Pakistan's Descent into Chaos: The Future of FATA and the NWFP"
Journalist
and Best-Selling Author of Descent
into Chaos: The United States and the Failure of Nation Building in
Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Central Asia

Shuja Nawaz
The Pakistan
Army and its Role in FATA
Director, South Asia
Center of the Atlantic Council
and Author of Crossed
Swords: Pakistan, its Army, and the Wars Within

Q&A

Coffee Break
10:15 a.m. to
10:45 a.m.

Panel Two:
Islamic
Militancy and Sectarianism in Pakistan's Tribal Areas
10:45 a.m.
to 12:00 p.m.

Imtiaz Ali
Whos
Who in the Islamic Militancy: Key Players and Recent Developments
Jennings Randolph Fellow, United States
Institute of Peace

Mariam Abou
Zahab
Sectarianism
in FATA (Kurram/Orakzai) & the NWFP"
Researcher
and Pakistan Specialist, Centre d'Etudes
et de Recherches Internationales (CERI)

Arif Jamal
The Past,
Present and Future of TNSM
Visiting
Fellow, Center on
International Cooperation, New York University

Q&A

*Keynote Luncheon Speaker*
12:15 p.m.
- 1:00 p.m.

Dr. David
Kilcullen
The Accidental
Guerrilla Syndrome in FATA
Former
Special Advisor for Counterinsurgency to
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice
and Author of
The Accidental Guerilla

Q&A

Panel Three:
Stabilizing
FATA
1:15
p.m. to 2:45 p.m.

Discussant:

Peter Bergen
Senior Fellow,
New America Foundation,
and Author of
Holy War Inc.: Inside the Secret World of Bin Laden

Mukhtar Khan
Taliban
Propaganda and the Use of FM Radios
Analyst,
The Jamestown Foundation

Haroon Rashid
(invited)
Pakistans
Domestic Crisis and its Impact on the Tribal Areas"
BBC Correspondent
Pakistan

Dr. Marin
Strmecki
U.S. Options in Stabilizing the Afghan-Pakistan Border
Senior
Vice President and Director of Programs, Smith Richardson
Foundation

Q&A

Coffee Break
2:45 to 3:00 p.m.

Panel Four:
The Future
of FATA: Lessons Learned and the Way Forward
3:00
p.m. to 4:30 p.m.

Discussant:
Bruce Hoffman
Edmund A.
Walsh School of Foreign Service, Georgetown
University

Dr. Andrew
McGregor
NATOs
Khyber Lifeline & its Alternatives
Director, Aberfoyle
International Security,
and Editor of
Terrorism Monitor

Jules Stewart

Lessons from the Past: The British Legacy of the North-West Frontier
Anglo-American
Historian
and Author of The Savage
Border: The Story of the North West Frontier

Dr.
Hassan Abbas
FATA in
2025: Three Possible Scenarios for the Future
Fellow, Harvard University's
Kennedy School of Government

Q&A

Conclusion
4:30 p.m.

Hassan Abbas served
as Sub-Divisional Police Chief in the North-West Frontier Province from
1996 to 1998, and was the Deputy Director of Investigations in Pakistan's
National Accountability Bureau from 1999 to 2000. Currently, he is a
fellow at Harvard University's Kennedy School of Government and is the
author of Pakistan's Drift into Extremism: Allah, the Army and America's
War on Terror.
Imtiaz Ali
is a Pashtun journalist and at present, a Jennings Randolph Fellow at
the United States Institute of Peace, Washington DC. Ali has recently
worked for the Washington Post in the Pakistan's Tribal belt and Frontier
Province. Before this, he worked with the BBC Pashto Service and London's
Daily Telegraph for five years and reported extensively on militancy,
the rise of the Pakistani Taliban, and Pakistan's military operations
against al-Qaeda operatives and their local Taliban supporters in the
tribal region along the Afghan border. Ali has also worked with Pakistan's
premier English-language newspapers, The News and Dawn. His recent articles
have appeared in Yale Global Online and Jamestown Foundation. Ali was
a Knight Journalism Fellow at Stanford University in 2006 and a Yale
World Fellowa global leadership program at Yale Universityin 2008.
Peter Bergen
is a print and television journalist, a Schwartz senior fellow at the New America Foundation in Washington D.C, a research fellow
at New York University's Center on Law andSecurity, CNN's national security
analyst and an Adjunct Professor at the School of Advanced International
Studies at Johns Hopkins University. In 2008 he was an Adjunct Lecturer
at the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University. His most
recent book, The Osama bin Laden I
Know: An Oral History of al Qaeda's Leader, was named one of the
best non-fiction books of 2006 by The Washington Post. The book
served as the inspiration for a two hour documentary produced by CNN
called In the Footsteps of bin Laden of which Bergen was a producer.
It was named the best documentary of 2006 by the Society of Professional
Journalists and was nominated for an Emmy. Bergen has an M.A. in Modern
History from New College, Oxford University.
Stephen Philip Cohen joined Brookings in 1998 after a career as a professor of Political Science and History at the University of Illinois. He has also taught in India, Japan, and Singapore, and served on the Policy Planning Staff of the State Department. In 2004 he was named by the World Affairs Councils of America as one of Americas five hundred most influential people in the area of foreign policy. Dr. Cohen is the author, co-author or editor of over twelve books, mostly on South Asian security issues, the most recent being Four Crises and a Peace Process: American Engagement in South Asia (2007), The Idea of Pakistan (2004), and an edited volume published by the National Academy of Science that explores the application of technology to the prediction, prevention or amelioration of terrorist acts. A book on the future of the Indian military is now in progress.
Bruce
Hoffman was Scholar-in-Residence for Counterterrorism at the
Central Intelligence Agency between 2004 and 2006. He was also adviser
on counterterrorism to the Office of National Security Affairs,
Coalition Provisional Authority, Baghdad, Iraq during the spring of
2004 and from 2004-2005 was an adviser on counterinsurgency to the
Strategy, Plans, and Analysis Office at Multi- National Forces-Iraq
Headquarters, Baghdad. Professor Hoffman was also an adviser to the
Iraq Study Group. Professor Hoffman has visited Afghanistan, where he
traveled to Khowst, Paktia, Kunar, and Nuristan Provinces to observe
the operations of the 82nd Airborne and Provincial Reconstruction Teams
under its command. Professor Hoffman is a member of the
Advisory Committee of the Terrorism and Counterterrorism Program, Human
Rights Watch, New York, NY; a member of the Singapore Ministry of Home
Affairs Home Team Academy Advisory Panel; and serves on the advisory
boards to the Arms Sales Monitoring Project at the Federation of
American Scientists and of Our Voices Together: September 11 Friends
and Families to Help Build a Safer, More Compassionate World. He is
also a Senior Scholar at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for
Scholars, Washington, D.C.; a Senior Fellow at the Combating Terrorism
Center, U.S. Military Academy, West Point, NY; a Distinguished Fellow
and Senior Advisor on International Security Programs at the Institute
of Public and International Affairs, University of Utah, Salt Lake
City, UT; a Visiting Professor at the Institute for Counter-Terrorism,
Interdisciplinary Center, Herzliya, Israel; and, a Visiting Professor
at the S. Rajaratnum School of International Studies, Nanyang
Technological University, Singapore. Professor Hoffman was
the founding Director of the Centre for the Study of Terrorism and
Political Violence at the University of St Andrews in Scotland, where
he was also Reader in International Relations and Chairman of the
Department of International Relations.
Arif Jamal
is a scholar and prominent journalist from Pakistan. He is currently
a Visiting Fellow at the Center on International Cooperation at New
York University. Arif Jamal has written more than 200 investigative
and interpretive articles in English, focusing on such subjects as Islamist
politics in Pakistan, jihad in Kashmir, the Pakistan Army, madrassas
and Afghanistan. Arifs forthcoming book, SHADOW WAR: The Untold
Story of Jihad in Kashmir profiles and analyzes the history of the
jihad in Kashmir and the role of the Pakistan Army in shaping it since
1988. Arif Jamal began his professional career in Pakistan in 1986 as
a journalist and has since worked with such publications as The Pakistan
Times, The Muslim, The News, Newsline and Financial Post. Arif has also
worked with and contributed to various international media including
New York Times, Radio France International, and The Canadian Broadcasting
Corporation. He holds a Masters in International Relations and has been
a fellow at distinguished institutions including Harvard University
and the University-College of London, UK. At Harvard University, he
continued his research on modern Salafism and Salafist jihad in South
Asia and its links with Saudi Salafists.
Dr. David
Kilcullen is a partner at the Crumpton Group, a Washington D.C.-based
strategic advisory firm. He also serves part time as a Senior Non-Resident
Fellow at the Center for a New American Security and is a Senior Fellow
of the East-West Institute. From 2007 to 2008 he was the Special Advisor
for Counterinsurgency to the U.S. Secretary of State, Condoleezza Rice,
responsible for technical advice to the Secretaries of State and Defense,
the National Security Council and the White House on counterterrorism,
counterinsurgency, Afghanistan and Iraq.
Dr. Kilcullen
served on the 2008 White House review of Afghanistan and Pakistan strategy
and was an advisor to General David Petraeuss joint strategic assessment
team for United States Central Command. In 2007 he served in Baghdad
as a senior counter-insurgency advisor to General Petraeus, then commanding
Multinational Force Iraq. From 2005 to 2006 he was chief counterterrorism
strategist at the U.S. State Department, working in the Middle East,
South Asia, Europe, Africa and Southeast Asia, including operational
activities in Afghanistan, Iraq and Pakistans Federally Administered
Tribal Agencies.
Dr. Kilcullen
previously served in Australias Office of National Assessments. Fluent
in Indonesian, and partially fluent in Arabic and French, Dr. Kilcullen
is a Fellow of the Royal Geographical Society (elected 1996) and holds
several honors and decorations, including the United States Army Superior
Civilian Service Medal, for exceptionally meritorious service to
the United States as Senior Counterinsurgency Advisor, Multi-National
Force-Iraq, during Operation Iraqi Freedom, the first such award
to a foreign national serving in combat alongside U.S. Forces.
Dr. Kilcullen
is the author of The Accidental Guerrilla, published by Oxford
University Press in March 2009, a detailed study that analyzes the complex
interplay between local guerrillas and global terrorists in contemporary
war zones from Africa to Southeast Asia.
Mukhtar A. Khan is a
Pashtun journalist based in Washington, D.C., covering the issues of
Taliban and al-Qaeda in Pakistan-Afghanistan border regions. Since 9/11,
he has covered the War on Terror extensively in Pakistan-Afghanistan
tribal areas, both for the local and international media, including
the BBC, Mail on Sunday, and Voice of America. Before relocating to
Washington D.C., Mukhtar closely monitored Pakistans tribal areas
by paying frequent visits to the region and interviewing top Taliban
leadership. Currently, he is working on a book about increasing trends
of militancy in Pakistan-Afghanistan border regions and the spill-over
effect it has had on the rest of the world. He is also contributing
articles to various local and international publications on terrorism.
Dr. Andrew McGregor
is the Director of Aberfoyle International Security, a Toronto-based
agency specializing in security issues related to the Islamic world.
He received a Ph.D. from the University of Torontos Department of
Near and Middle Eastern Civilizations in 2000 and is a former Research
Associate of the Canadian Institute of International Affairs. In October
2007, he took over as managing editor of the Jamestown Foundations
Global Terrorism Analysis publications. He is the author of an archaeological
history of Darfur published by Cambridge University in 2001 and publishes
frequently on international security issues. His latest book is A
Military History of Modern Egypt, published by Praeger Security
International in 2006. Dr. McGregor provides commentary on military
and security issues for newspapers (including the New York Times
and Financial Times), and makes frequent appearances on the radio
(BBC, CBC Radio, VOA, Radio Canada International) and television (CBC
Newsworld, CTV Newsnet, and others).
Shuja Nawaz, a native
of Pakistan, is a political and strategic analyst andwrites for leading
newspapers as well as The Huffington Post, and speaks on current topics
before civic groups, think tanks, and on radio and television. He has
worked on projects with RAND, the United States Institute of Peace,
The Center for Strategic and International Studies, The Atlantic Council,
and other leading think tanks on projects dealing with Pakistan and
the Middle East. In January 2009 he was made the first Director
of the South Asia Center at The Atlantic Council of the United States.
He was educated at Gordon College, Rawalpindi, where he obtained a BA
in Economics and English Literature and at the Graduate School of Journalism
of Columbia University in New York, where he was a Cabot Fellow and
won the Henry Taylor International Correspondent Award. He was also
a member of the prize-winning team at Stanford Universitys Publishing
Program. He was a newscaster and producer for Pakistan Television and
covered the 1971 war with India on the Western Front. He has worked
for the World Health Organization and has headed three separate divisions
at the International Monetary Fund. He was also a Director at the International
Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna. Mr. Nawaz was the Managing Editor and
then Editor of Finance & Development, the multilingual quarterly
of the IMF and the World Bank and on the Editorial Advisory Board of
the World Bank Research Observer. His latest book is Crossed Swords:
Pakistan, its Army, and the Wars Within
Ahmed Rashid
is the author of the New York Times best-selling book Taliban:
Militant Islam, Oil and Fundamentalism in Central Asia as well as
Jihad: The Rise of Militant Islam in Central Asia. His latest book
Descent into Chaos: The United States and the
Failure of Nation Building in Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Central
Asia, published in June of 2008, has already received broad recognition
for his assessment of US policy in the region. In 2001, he was awarded
the Nisar Omani Award for Courage in Journalism by the Human Rights
Society of Pakistan. He appears regularly on media outlets such as CNN
and BBC World.
Haroon Rashid
is the Acting Editor for the BBC and is currently based in Islamabad.
He obtained Masters degrees in journalism from both Peshawar University
and City University in London, and has been part of the journalism industry
since 1988. He began reporting for the BBC in 1997 in Quetta,
Balochistan, and has covered the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq for the
BBC Urdu Service. He was awarded the Best Reporter Award
by the BBC in London in 2007 for his coverage of the conflict in Pakistans
tribal areas.
Marin Strmecki
is Senior Vice President and Director of Programs of the Smith Richardson
Foundation in Westport, Connecticut. The Foundation supports public
policy research and writing and operates one of the countrys largest
grant programs on national security and foreign policy issues.
In addition to his role at the Foundation, Dr. Strmecki has recently
worked in a variety of advisory capacities in the U.S. government, serving
as the Afghanistan Policy Coordinator and as a Special Advisor on Afghanistan
in the Office of the Secretary of Defense (2003-2005), an advisor to
Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad in Afghanistan and Iraq (2004-2007), and
as a Policy Counselor at the U.S. Mission to the United Nations (2007-2008).
Also, he is a member of the Defense Policy Board. Before joining
the Foundation in 1994, Dr. Strmecki served as a professional staff
member of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence and the Senate
Foreign Relations Committee from 1990 to 1991, a member of the Policy
Planning Staff at the Department of Defense in 1992, and a legislative
assistant to Senator Orrin Hatch from 1993 to 1994. He also worked
as a Research Associate and Fellow in International Studies at the Center
for Strategic and International Studies from 1985 to 1990, where he
followed U.S.-Soviet issues and provided research and editorial assistance
to Dr. Zbigniew Brzezinski. In addition, Dr. Strmecki served for
over 16 years from 1978 to 1994 as a foreign policy assistant to Richard
Nixon, assisting the former President with the research and writing
of seven books on foreign policy and politics and other projects.
He received a B.A. from Harvard University, an M.A. in international
affairs from the Columbia University School of International and Public
Affairs, a Ph.D. in government from Georgetown University, and a J.D.
from Yale Law School. Dr. Strmecki is a member of the Council
on Foreign Relations and the Aspen Strategy Group.
Jules Stewart
is an Anglo-American historian and author who has spent most of his
professional life in journalism, reporting from more than 30 countries.
A graduate of New York University and the University of Madrid, he began
his career as an academic, lecturing in Spanish language and literature
at two U.S. universities before moving to Madrid, where he spent 20
years as a journalist. After joining Reuters, Stewart re-located to
London in 1987, now his permanent home. He has been working as a freelance
reporter since 1994, specializing in finance. In recent years Stewart
has turned his efforts to authorship, producing four books to date on the
history of the British on the North-West Frontier and in Afghanistan.
His most recent book is The Savage Border: The Story
of the North West Frontier.
Mariam Abou Zahab
is a specialist on Pakistan, a researcher affiliated with the Centre
d'Etudes et de Recherches Internationales (CERI) and a lecturer at both
the Institut d'Etudes Politiques (IEP) and the Institut National des
Langues et Civilisations Orientales (INALCO) in Paris. Her research
focuses on Shiism in Pakistan, sectarianism and jihadi groups in Pakistan,
as well as on Pashtun society and the tribal areas of Pakistan.Her most
recent publication, Between Pakistan and Qom : Shii women's madrasas
and new transnational networks was published in 2008, and she anticipates
the upcoming publication of Salafism in Pakistan : The Ahl-e Hadith
Movement. She is co-author with Olivier Roy of Islamist
Networks: The Afghan-Pakistan Connection and one of the authors
of the report FATA - A most dangerous place, published by CSIS,
in conjunction with the main author Shuja Nawaz.



Organized by Jamestown Foundation

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