Paul Saffo: Embracing Uncertainty April 22, 2008

These are times when forecasters struggle to anticipate an ever-stranger geopolitical reality. A movie star as Governor? No way! Planes hitting skyscrapers? The stuff of cheap novels! In this moment of unprecedented uncertainty and change, it is tempting to conclude that forecasting is as dangerous as it is futile. In fact, connecting short-term policy to long-range forecasting is surprisingly easy -- and absolutely crucial to meeting the challenges before us. All it takes is simple shift in perspective and a few common-sense heuristics. Paul Saffo is a legendary technology forecaster with over two decades of experience exploring long-term technological change and its impact on business and society. All attendees are in for a surely controversial and interesting discussion.

INFORUM is a division of The Commonwealth Club by and for people in their 20s and 30s, with a mission to inspire debate around civic issues. INFORUM has 2,500 members.

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